Browse complete trade notes by symbol, strategy, direction, asset class, horizon, or month.
having no directional opinion and selling premium on both sides is a good strategy
short premium play
We're going to sell puts and we're never going to flip those cards over.
The wheel strategy is working for the speaker, and they suggest continuing with it.
challenge to go shorter dated with strategy
rolling both the long and short strike is a choice that depends on the trader's preference and market conditions
The wheel strategy is up to the trader if they want to implement it on oversold stocks.
Bullish trade with 70% to 90% probability of success
Keep the position open and let it expire.
the bond market has been performing well and the speaker has been long bonds
The speaker is short a wide strangle in MU with a $300 width, adjusting it frequently and referring to it as a grinding trade.
better off being directional with very low implied volatility
The trade idea involves maintaining the covered call position while considering the possibility of rolling the call to a higher strike price to keep the wheel alive.
great way to learn
the 8115 strangle for about 240 is a marginal trade
This is a calendar spread, which I thought was super cheap.
Selling puts at 3500 and 3600 when gold was around 4,000 was a good trade due to the premium available.
The speaker is selling puts at 3500 and 3600, indicating a bullish or neutral stance on the underlying asset.
Trading earnings is most effective when volatility is high and risk is managed carefully.
digital assets have potential for recovery and can be long-term investments
MEES can become a big product very quickly in your account if you have a directional bias
profit from downside risk if stock remains below strike price
BABA's earnings play is a trade idea
In low volatility environments, longer-term options can synthetically increase volatility exposure.
put spreads are enticing to sell here
NQ puts are more capital efficient than QQQ puts
Selling naked calls on stocks with call skew can be advantageous due to higher pricing in the market.
Using MEES can help manage the margin requirements when trading futures.
Premium sellers should benefit from the unexpected moves in AMD and SpaceX
Four-legged trades are more efficient due to increased liquidity, reducing theoretical give-up.
Market may not move significantly, allowing the put position to expire worthless
Taking more risk can lead to higher returns if the opportunity is correctly identified
The stock rallied back up, and I ultimately made money on the trade.
high implied volatility and call skew
the trade has a 2/3 chance of making money
QQQ is a favorite trade
look for a 50% pop
Adjust position if close to 21 days
You can trade this. If you have If If you happen to know that ABC stock is going in and you're one of the first to catch wind of it, especially in a bull market.
The system works as designed, and the system allows for tradeable opportunities when analyzing what's coming in and out of an index.
play a little omnidirectional contrarian play
A beginner trade that involves bear call or put credit spreads is recommended for all traders.
The yen is a good trade due to its low value and high volatility, with the speaker planning to sell puts and possibly calls.
volatility is high and stock is expected to move $21
iron condor is delta neutral and has no directional risk
Tom's favorite trades of the week include Apple short strangle, hood short put spread, SMH short iron condor, and coin short put.
selling naked puts on SPY is a strategy that can be used to get long exposure to the stock
being consistent with duration and mechanics is key
The market is heating up, and there's potential for a fun week of trading.
Volatility in SpaceX is unsustainable and will contract into the 70s
sell into strength
short-term, long diagonal spreads can be used on unleveraged products
Taking profits quickly on strong days can be effective, but traders must be cautious of market reversals.
high probability profit with a wide spread
The trade is based on the expectation that the stock will not move significantly beyond the strike prices
short puts in the yen can be a viable strategy for profiting from volatility
Counter spreads are a low-risk strategy that can be used to make a small profit with minimal risk.
To reduce basis by writing out of the money calls against the OTC DS market
short S&P futures and NASDAQ futures
The speaker is suggesting to trade Nvidia around its earnings report, indicating a potential directional move.
The speaker discusses the importance of entering trades before confirmation, suggesting that waiting for confirmation is a common misconception and a poor strategy.
Roll to October if still bullish on AMD
The speaker bought NASDAQ futures at 400 and S&P 500 at 66 and 64, indicating a short cover or long trade.
The speaker likes Intel at 85 and suggests a long diagonal spread in Intel.
entry level trades are accessible for beginners
stock will stay in a narrow range
Silver's down 46 cents and gold's up big. That trade is another nice one, but I'm not touching that yet. Target on its highs. Walmart's on its lows. This trade was from a viewer.
Aggressive trade with a target range of 375 to 400, with a focus on downside risk.
Bitcoin is a good rally and the speaker is a buyer if it gets back into the low 70s in Bitcoin.
crude oil is more of a seller rather a buyer
the market could go higher
short-term trades are key for leverage ETFs
Futures approval is recommended for traders who want to engage in leverage ETF trading.
taking profits at 30% rather than waiting for 50%
Start with simple strategies and evolve as you gain experience
contrarian play
Apple's weakness after a downgrade could be exploited with a put spread
potential for further gains given the stock's recent performance
A wide strangle is the optimal trade in stocks with heavy call skew, as it allows for greater distance on the call side while maintaining the same risk as the put side.
A shock to the AI spending narrative can trigger coordinated exits before long-term fundamentals have clearly changed.
if you think it's going to go sideways, you've done your analysis, whatever the case may be, go for it
short-dated plays are good in ETFs
Close the position to avoid earnings event and free up capital
Avoid earnings events due to volatility and outlier moves
low volatility can be exploited with calendar spreads
collecting premium with limited risk
the biggest risk in natural gas is always upside moves
Better than 50/50 and IVR
Silver and gold have enduring value and may experience significant moves, but traders should be cautious and not overexposed.
Silver may reach a price that the speaker did not expect, and they plan to sell at 120.
A short squeeze on a meme stock like Wendy's could be a viable trade if the stock drops under eight bucks at seven and a half.
IBIT is a good play
A diversified portfolio of 20 stocks is a conservative approach for long-term growth
A trader can profit from a quick market movement with a properly structured iron fly spread.
rangebound
Close the position quickly to secure profit
the trader should consider a short put spread strategy with defined risk
the more things you do, the more you figure out what you like
contrarian logic suggests a sell signal when investors are extremely bullish and heavily positioned
It's too hard to jump on after the market reaches extreme highs, so one should be positioned before.
selling an S&P 12 delta short put
calendar spreads are avoided due to their slow movement and pricing to perfection
Apple may drop to between 300 and 306.
Premium sellers should take profits and reduce size as the market may change.
Shorting at 7800 and 9800
Scaling up should be done in stages: first take more risk, then increase contract size
maximize profit with minimal action
The speaker is not considering a trade in S&P due to the significant move.
A covered call can be synthetically replicated by selling a put with the same strike price.
short premium when no premium to roll
The speaker believes that selling puts on SPX is a viable strategy given the current market conditions.
reduces risk on naked put
The speaker suggests that the covered call or covered put can be an intelligent trade if the direction is correctly identified.
There's opportunity in individual stocks during market panic
The simplest approach to trading is to take profits when markets rise and add positions when markets fall.
Selling short-dated premium is not mathematically superior, but it does allow for more money to be made in a shorter period of time, albeit with more risk.
the speaker believes the move will be outside of the expected move
the move has already happened
Post earnings trades should be executed with longer-dated options to avoid holding positions during volatile periods.
Trading liquid products is more effective and safer than trading illiquid ones
When volatility is low, the opportunity to sell premium may not be worth the risk.
market is expected to stay within range
short strangle on SpaceX with 41% expected move
The speaker discusses selling S&P futures and closing positions due to market movements, indicating a short-term trade idea.
To reduce negative delta and give the stock a chance to move back
rolling the position when it expires
selling calls above the strike price to capitalize on expected price movement
diagonal spread is the way to go for post earnings trades
Microsoft is a good risk-reward opportunity to the downside